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[RC] Analysis of Fatalities Rates - Truman Prevatt

This paper documents an analysis of the fatality rate of deaths
associated with AERC rides. The fatalities for the years of 2003 through 2007 are
considered. The reason to look at this question now is with in excess of 110,000 starts in
this five year period, the sample size is sufficient to statistically differentiate small
proportions with a reasonable confidence. The data
are analyzed with the AERC fatalities broken into four categories. The first is all the
fatalities. The second is the fatalities in the one day 100 mile events. The third is the
fatalities in the "fifty" mile events (all rides except one day 100 and LD rides). The final
category is LD. The question of do horses die at a higher proportion as a result of colic in
endurance that in the general population is also addressed.





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