Re: [RC] VC 100 and choking horses - Sisu West Ranch
"... If it's a rare thing, any theories as to why it
happened to a few horses ..."
Occam's* razor would predict that this is a statistical
anamoly. When you have a rare event, statistically sometimes
the event clusters. Such things should cause an examination to see if they
are in fact random, but most times no cause is found.
If indeed there was a cause, like the ride being in the
desert, then looking at past ride results would show a pattern. Because
folk who know much more about statistics have been looking at pulls etc. and not
found a pattern, my tentative conclusion is that it is just the luck of the
draw.
My Grandfather, who came from a family who owned
vaudeville theaters before 1920, was firmly convinced that show business deaths
always came in groups of three. Obviously, this is just a statistical
fluke. The human mind is all set up to find patterns (there were 3
shooters on the grassy knoll etc.) even where there are none. There was a
recent short article in the Scientific American editorializing about
this.
