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From the back of the envelope:
Assuming the probability of a team member finishing is .38 - the at 
random the probability of a team for a team of 4 is
4 finishing .0209
3 finishing .136
2 finishing .333
1 finishing .262
0 finishing .1478

The mean number of riders on a team finishing is 1.44. The most likely 
number finishing on a team is 2.

The probability of a team finishing ( 3 or 4) is or about .157 or 15.7% 
of the teams would finish. I don't know how many teams finsihed but 
taking the 31 number (180 riders divided by 6 per country so 30 ro 31 
makes sense) at random that would be 4.867 teams finishing. I do belive 
there were more than 5 teams finishing.

Truman

Michael Maul wrote:

> It's been pointed out that the US finished 0% of it's team compared 
> rather than 33% as I mentioned in my post on team strategy.
>
> I knew that when I posted team - I should have said group. But I 
> expected that overall stats would be similar for riders in teams as 
> they are for the group.
>
> If we look at the members of the teams that started (113) and those 
> that finished - 43 - the finishing rate for riders who are a part of 
> teams is just about exactly the same as the whole group 38% vs 36%.
>
> On that basis - I'd expect it to be pretty difficult to finish a team. 
> There were something like 31 teams that started. I don't know how many 
> teams finished but I'd expect it to be a lot smaller than 33%.
>
> It would also be reasonable to expect the riders on a team to finish 
> at a higher rate than individual riders due to wanting to be 
> conservative and finish. That's apparently not the case. I'd be 
> interested in hearing thoughts from the group as to why they think 
> this is the case.
>
> But I certainly agree that the US _team_ finished at a significantly 
> lower completion rate than the average rider.
>
> Part of that may be statistics and certainly part strategy.
>
> Mike
>
>
>
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