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Get your supplies ready and animals taken care of before it hits.  Santa Cruz Mts are going to take the brunt of this one

 

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
223 PM PST TUE JAN 1 2008

CAZ006-505>518-021300-
SAN FRANCISCO-
COASTAL NORTH BAY...INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-
NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-
EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE-
SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY...INCLUDING SAN JOSE-
MONTEREY BAY...NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...HOLLISTER VALLEY...AND
CARMEL VALLEY-BIG SUR COAST-
SOUTHERN SALINAS VALLEY...ARROYO SECO...AND LAKE SAN ANTONIO-
SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
MOUNTAINS OF SAN BENITO AND INTERIOR MONTEREY COUNTY INCLUDING
PINNACLES NATIONAL MONUMENT-
223 PM PST TUE JAN 1 2008

...RAIN AND WIND EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE SAN
FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY AREAS..

A MAJOR CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC STARTING THURSDAY. STRONG ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED
TO BRING A SERIES OF PACIFIC STORMS INTO THE REGION...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND
STRONG WINDS.

THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL BRING MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY
AREAS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH
THIS FIRST SYSTEM...POSSIBLY GUSTING TO 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST AND
IN THE MOUNTAINS.

A SECOND AND VERY POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY
RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS GUSTING TO AS
HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST AND IN
THE MOUNTAINS. DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL
FLOW WITH THIS SECOND SYSTEM...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT
OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT OF RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
FACING MOUNTAIN AND FOOTHILL LOCATIONS. THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY
HIGH RAINFALL RATES IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HILLS WILL BRING THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

A THIRD WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING ANOTHER THREAT OF
SIGNIFICANT RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE COLDER WITH LESS MOISTURE. SNOW
LEVELS COULD LOWER TO 2000 TO 3000 FEET...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE ON
THE BAY AREA HILLS.

PRELIMINARY RAINFALL TOTALS LOOK TO BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE FOR THE
ENTIRE EVENT FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THIS
TIME...COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT BETWEEN 2 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH MOUNTAINS RECEIVING BETWEEN 5 TO 10 INCHES
OF RAIN. THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS
COULD RECEIVE IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES OF RAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. AGAIN...ALL THESE ARE PRELIMINARY NUMBERS AND CAN BE
EXPECTED TO CHANGE AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THESE STRONG PACIFIC STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO BRING A LARGE
WESTERLY SWELL INTO THE COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH SURF CONDITIONS ACROSS
ALL WEST FACING BEACHES.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS
AND STATEMENTS AS THIS WEATHER SITUATION DEVELOPS

 

 

Eric Drew

eidrew@xxxxxxxxxxxxx