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RE: [RC] 2007 Fort Howes - David LeBlanc

It is actually quite common - quite a while back, I looked at several
hundred ride results, and on average the 50 mile riders run 15% faster over
roughly twice the distance (and this was a statistically valid sample size).
Your 1st place "racing LD'er", if they were able to hold the same pace as
they did the 25, typically would end up about 15th in the 50. The cases
where the LD distance had faster speeds were very uncommon.

While I personally don't see anything wrong with a quick LD, ***if your
horse is in condition***, this is something to caution beginning riders over
- if you're running up front in an LD, you probably started up front and
stayed there. You do that in a 50, only to find you're in the big leagues
now, and your results may not be what you wanted. I'm glad that when I moved
up to 50's, we were smart enough to go slow most of the year.

I had an interesting experience very early on - we were doing a fairly quick
50 one day, it was getting warm, and we were dragging a big about 10 miles
from the finish. Along comes a 100 mile rider, whose horse had gone close to
twice as far that day, and we tagged along for a while - his horse was like
a metronome - just kept chugging along in a nice trot, uphill and down. We
eventually had to let him go, as he had more horse at 70 miles or so than we
did at 40+ miles.

-----Original Message-----
From: ridecamp-owner@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:ridecamp-owner@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Truman Prevatt
Sent: Saturday, June 16, 2007 3:33 PM
To: Patty P
Cc: Ridecamp Alexandria
Subject: Re: [RC] 2007 Fort Howes

Patty P wrote:
Is it common for the 50 mile winner to beat the winning time of the 25 
mile ride?
Probably not, but it is quite typical that the 50's run their 25 mile 
splits faster than the 25 mile event is run. Next time just divide the 
50 times in half and compare them to the 25 mile times. This winning 50 
was running twice as fast as the winning 25.

Now for something more interesting - multiply the 25 mile winning time 
by 4 (16:16). and compare that to the 100's. You have to go down to the 
22 second horse to finish the 100 to find a time slower than 16:16. In 
the FEI division there were no times slower than 16:16.

So the both the long race and the middle race were faster - by a large 
amount than the short race.

Truman

-- 

"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how 
smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong" Richard 
Feynman, Nobel Laureate in Physics


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