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Re: [RC] Weight divisions - quick stats - Jon . Linderman

Dawn, very good point.  I could not do the stats on all 40 rides right away, but choosing 4 larger rides, each with 60 or more starters here is some more food for thought.
 
Completion rates were as follows:

FW-83%
LW-89%
MW-89%
HW-77%
 
The % of starters by weight division represented in the top 10 at these rides.  That is the % of the category starters that finished top 10 is as follows:
 
FW-21%
LW-17%
MW-14%
HW-11%
 
This was done on a pool of nearly 300 riders in events 50 miles in length each in a different division.  If I could find a student needing some extra credit I will gladly carry this out on a much larger sample size.
 
Also, I checked the stas on the last 6-7 years of AERC Nat'ls (which varies in site ove time), Tevis, Vermont (its flatter), and Old Dominion, the #'s I generated this am over coffee held up quite nicely.  That is ~70% of the top-5 in these events was occupied by FW or LW, the remainder spread out ~20% MW and ~10-15% HW.  Unfortunately, I could not go further back than 7 years for Tevis, and no weight divisions were given for pulls, so completion rates could not be done from the archives or representation could not be done quite so quickly.  It would make a rather easy project to do if all the numbers could be gathered.  Excel and lots of caffeine would do the trick.

 
Jon 

-----ridecamp-owner@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx wrote: -----

To: Jon.Linderman@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, ridecamp@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
From: RDCARRIE@xxxxxxx
Sent by: ridecamp-owner@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Date: 06/25/2003 05:16PM
Subject: Re: [RC] Weight divisions - quick stats

Are these just the percentage of rides won by each weight class?   If so, one would need to factor in the number of riders in each weight class...there are usually more FW and LW than there are Jr, MW, and HW, so it would stand to reason that if all things were equal, FW and LW riders would win more rides just by virtue of there being more of them in the ride.  Sort of like having 10 green jelly beans and 3 red ones in a bag - chances of pulling out a green one is greater.

Dawn in East Texas (who rides too slow to ever have to "worry" about winning <G>)

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