Re: RC: Fwd: RC: "Weighty issue"

[Truman Prevatt <truman.prevatt@netsrq.com>]

If "weight is not a factor", then the distribution of the top 10 as far as weight
division will mirror the distribution in the entire ride.  That is as far as
weight divisions go, if there were 25% HW riders in a ride, then you would find
on the average 25% HW's in the top 10.

I think if you do the analysis testing that hypothesis against the rides in any
given year, you will find you can reject that hypothesis to a confidence in
excess of 99%.  If I can find the time I might just punch in the 98 results from
the yearbook and run the analysis.

Yep there are a few counter examples, but the distribution of the top 10 is by no
means a hypergeometric distribution drawn from the same population as the ride
entries.

Truman



BMcCrary27@aol.com wrote:

> Do I understand this thread correctly?  That someone is taking into
> consideration the weight of the horse in BC judging?  I've never heard of
> this before.  Have I missed something along the way?
> My personal opinion is to drop weight divisons entirely!  I realize a horse
> is supposed to be disadvantaged by carrying a heavy rider rather than a light
> one, but I've seen a small (14.2, 850#) horse carry a light heavyweight rider
> to a 2nd place (2nd only by a squeek).  I feel it is a rider's choice to pick
> a horse that will carry his weight if the rider wishes to be very competitive.
> I also feel that a lot of a horse's ability to finish in top position is in
> that horse's head, and the rider's.  This sport could be simplified by
> dropping the weight divisions.  Of course more divisons means more awards
> (happy riders, unhappy AERC bank account).
> Let the horse compete on his own merit.  If a rider weighs 250# w/tack, then
> ride a horse that can carry 250# w/tack!
> Realize here that I'm a mathimatically challenged person.  I'm also prepared
> to take whatever flack may come my way.  My husband certainly doesn't agree
> with me, even though he was the one who rode my little horse to that 2nd
> place.
> It's just that the more AERC tries to make all riders happy, the less it is
> able to do so.
>
> The above opinions are mine and in no way are meant to reflect the opinions
> or policy of AERC.
>

--
Truman Prevatt
Brooksville, FL

Mystic "The Horse from Hell" Storm with one on the way
Rocket a.k.a. Mr. Misty
Jordy a.k.a. Bridger (when he is good)
Danson Flame - Hot Dog I'm healed and ready to go.

http://www.mrsl.com



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