<% appTitle="Ridecamp Archives" %> Ridecamp: Re: [RC] [RC] Critical Thinking/The six rules of evidential reasoning /was pet communicators
Ridecamp@Endurance.Net

[Archives Index]   [Date Index]   [Thread Index]   [Author Index]   [Subject Index]
Current to Wed Jul 23 17:26:55 GMT 2003
  • Next by Date: Re: [RC] ? - Keeping horse's cool
  • - FASTGraphic
  • Prev by Date: Re: [RC] Del Valle Ride??
  • - Merryben

    Re: [RC] [RC] Critical Thinking/The six rules of evidential reasoning /was pet communicators - S.N.


    > I would not say I am a believer in the paranormal, just not willing to
    rule
    > it out. They have found and proven that folks who are prayed for heal
    sooner
    > even if the person praying or being prayed for is not religious. Why is
    > that, no one knows.
    
    Actually, this is quite false. Evidence supports a small placebo effect,
    which is all "faith self-healing" boils down to when put to the test with
    proper scientific controls.  Faith healing by outside individuals (i.e.
    family members trying to "heal" a sick child by praying) has shown to be
    completely lacking in any basis whatsoever. If you have the independent and
    duplicated studies published in any reputable scientific journal to show
    otherwise, I'd be happy to review them, as would the majority of the
    scientific community.
    
    Further, it is important to note that in science one deals with evidence -
    not proof. Proof is for good liquor and courtrooms. Evidence is what is used
    to establish facts and theories.
    
    And for your consideration, one of the most common fallacies that people
    delude themselves with is observational selection, also called the
    enumeration of favorable circumstances, or as the philosopher Francis Bacon
    described it, counting the hits and forgetting the misses.  Let's give you
    the benefit of the doubt and assume you really did visualize your pet and
    then later found your pet in the exact same spot you visualized.  How many
    times in the life of your pet have you visualized your pet in a certain
    situation? I for one can be quite a worrier when away from home, and
    visualize all sorts of catastrophies. Of course, my pets are safe and sound
    upon my return - but you can bet the ONE time they aren't fine - I will
    remember very clearly the "worry" that this would happen. I would wager that
    this is what you experienced. A coincidence. Remarkable coincidences do
    happen - simple statistics virtually guarantees it. But it is not evidence
    for paranormal activity.
    
    
    ~Shere
    
    
    
    =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
     Ridecamp is a service of Endurance Net, http://www.endurance.net.
     Information, Policy, Disclaimer: http://www.endurance.net/Ridecamp
    =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
    
    

    Replies
    RE: [RC] [RC] Critical Thinking/The six rules of evidential reasoning /was pet communicators, Dolores Arste